Strategists suggest recession could pose a threat to Democrats in midterm elections: ‘People are hurting’

Strategists suggest recession could pose a threat to Democrats in midterm elections: 'People are hurting'

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The next midterm elections will present a variety of issues, but the No. 1 focus for voters that has the potential to sway the outcome of Democratic candidates, according to strategists and multiple polls, is the economy.

Earlier this week, the Commerce Department said gross domestic product decreased by 0.9% on an annualized basis during the three-month period from April to June. GDP also fell for the second consecutive quarter, signaling that the economy has entered a recession.

To better understand how a recession could impact Democratic candidates in November’s midterm elections, or if it will at all, Fox News Digital reached out to political experts on both sides of the aisle for their assessment. .

US ECONOMY ENTERS TECHNICAL RECESSION AFTER SECOND QUARTER GROWTH DROPS 0.9%

Economic data released Thursday showed two straight quarters of negative gross domestic product (GDP) growth, which has long been the measure that determines whether the United States is in a recession.
(FoxNews)

Jessica Tarlov, Democratic strategist and co-host of Fox News’ “The Five”:

“To be honest, I don’t think calling it a recession versus a contraction or anything else makes a big difference. People know what they think about the cost of gas, groceries and goods and services. And the poll is clear: They don’t approve of Biden’s handling of the economy, and they don’t expect it to improve.

“In this context, the verbal games around whether to call it a recession or not seem to miss the point, which is that Americans are in trouble. What’s interesting, though, is that Democrats are voting better better on the generic ballot, taking a small lead in the FiveThirtyEight average.

“This indicates that Republicans don’t do their job by making himself a viable alternative to a Democratic party that had floundered in recent polls. If they think they can win by shouting, “But we’re in a recession!”, the GOP is misreading the landscape.”

Democratic strategist and Fox News contributor Jessica Tarlov.

Democratic strategist and Fox News contributor Jessica Tarlov.
(FoxNews)

Jason Rantz, mJason Rantz Show ost on AM 770 KTTH Radio:

“People are hurting, and we’re told it’s no big deal or it’s not real. We can’t lie before we level politically reprisals against these politicians who are responsible. Maybe the Democrats would be able to recover from the recession we find ourselves in if they recognized the problem and came up with a clear plan. But they refuse to admit the truth. How can we be sure they have a plan to fight recession and inflation if they won’t even admit it’s a problem?

“And how many more lies do they think we’ll accept?” How stupid do they think the American people are?

“We see an open border, they tell us it’s closed. We see a man, and we’ve been told it’s a woman. We see high gasoline prices months before the war in Ukraine, we are told. it’s putin’s fault. We were told inflation was transient, then it didn’t really exist, then it was a good thing, then it was Putin’s fault. And now they just ignore it.

“At some point, all the dishonesty will catch up with them. I suspect it will be halfway through.”

Jason Rantz, host of the Jason Rantz Show on AM 770 KTTH Radio

Jason Rantz, host of the Jason Rantz Show on AM 770 KTTH Radio
(Digital Fox News)

SOME HOUSING MARKETS IN CALIFORNIA, IDAHO AND FLORIDA ARE MOST LIKELY TO SLOW DURING A RECESSION

Kevin Walling, Democratic campaign strategist and former Biden campaign surrogate:

“It’s been 30 years since James Carville first uttered the words ‘It’s the economy, stupid’ in the 1992 election. The observation is as true today as it was then. majority of Americans will go to the polls in November and vote with their wallets foremost in mind. Democrats have a lot to campaign for on, including record job growth and recovery, rapid wage growth, and more Americans enjoying quality health care coverage than ever before.

“These gains are clearly not keeping up with the high inflation we’re all experiencing, however, and Americans are suffering. Democrats should be seen as the party of action when it comes to tackling rising prices by embracing the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, strengthening the global food supply and tackling price gouging at the pump. All of these efforts, coupled with contrasting messages highlighting near-universal GOP filibuster, could help stem the rising and falling tide of the ballot in a tough year for Team Blue.”

Kevin Walling, Democratic campaign strategist and former Biden campaign surrogate

Kevin Walling, Democratic campaign strategist and former Biden campaign surrogate
(Kevin Walling)

Peter Morici, economist and professor of business at the University of Maryland:

“If the economy falls into recession and inflation continues at an alarming rate, the Democrats’ prospects of keeping the Senate plummet to nearly zero, and their losses in the House would be devastating.”

Peter Morici, economist and professor of business at the University of Maryland.

Peter Morici, economist and professor of business at the University of Maryland.
(Peter Morici)

The comments provided to Fox News Digital in this article are part of a new series of weekends in which strategists from all political backgrounds are asked the same questions related to hot political topics and given the opportunity to offer their point of view.

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Economic output fell in the first three months of the year, with GDP falling 1.6%, the worst performance since the spring of 2020, when the economy was still in crisis. COVID-induced recession.

Recessions are defined by two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth and are characterized by high unemployment, low or negative GDP growth, declining incomes and slowing retail sales, according to the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). , which tracks slowdowns.

Fox Business’ Megan Henney contributed to this article.

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